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In Numbers Europe 2025 & 2026—Replacement Continues

In Numbers Europe 2025 & 2026—Replacement Continues
  • We’ve published an annual In Numbers for the US since 2022. But Europe, as the seat of Western Civilization will lose its significance and influence if no longer populated by its indigenous peoples. The quiet, undemocratic demographic transformation of Europe must be stopped and reversed.

    The EU countries lying west of Poland and the Czech Republic, Austria included: Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Portugal, Luxembourg and Malta will be the focus of the In Numbers for Europe this year as they are subject to the most mass immigration. Together they still contain the greater part of the Union’s population, wealth and historical identity. Yet year after year, net migration of non-citizens and, more importantly, non-Westerners, continues to reshape these populations far more powerfully than births or deaths, even births and deaths among the non-Western populations.

    In 2024 the European Union as a whole recorded roughly 5.7 million long-term immigrants—some 4.2 million of them from outside the Union. Net migration stood near +2.3 million. First residence permits to non-EU citizens numbered about 3.5 million. Irregular detections at the external borders fell in 2025 to around 178,000, the lowest level since 2021, and asylum applications also declined. The decline in illegal crossings is real, but it should not distract from the larger picture: legal migration remains high, and the accumulated stock of foreign-born and foreign-origin residents keeps rising.

    By 2025, the EU hosted a record foreign-born population of approximately 64 million. Germany alone accounts for nearly 18 million of them.

    Germany remains the clearest example of the scale of replacement we are seeing. While net migration fell from roughly +494,000 in 2024 to +235,000 in 2025, the country is still subject to what can only be called replacement migration. As will be typical across the countries we look at, German citizens recorded a net loss of nearly 97,000. So, the entire positive balance came from non-Germans, approximately +332,000 of whom moved to the country in 2025. Non-EU nationals supplied the greater part of the immigrants, something else that will be a trend in this piece. Official figures now place the foreign-born population near 18 million, or around 21 percent of the total population. Broader measures that include those born in Germany to two foreign-born parents put the foreign-origin population in the region of 20–24 percent, or about 20.2 million people. Our own past analysis has noted that a substantial share of this group is of non-European background and only an estimated 70.1% of Germany’s population is estimated to be of German heritage.

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  • Austria tells a similar story on a smaller scale. Net migration fell from +47,000 in 2024 to +30,742 in 2025 but remained high for a country of fewer than 9.3 million people. Austrian citizens showed a net loss of about 5,300 while non-Austrian nationals increased by +36,000, roughly two-thirds of whom were non-EU nationals. By 2025, people with foreign background, defined as both parents born abroad by the Austrian state, numbered 2.55 million, or about 28 percent of those living in private households. Of these, 1.90 million were first-generation immigrants and 0.65 million second-generation. The foreign-born share itself stood at 22.9 percent by the start of 2026.

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  • In Italy, where clear statistics are incredibly hard to come by, recorded net international migration for 2025 was +296,000, but as always this does not paint the whole picture. Foreigner inflows were around 383,000 and the non-citizen resident population rose by 188,000 to 5.56 million (9.4 percent of the population). The total foreign-born total now stands near 6.9 million or about 13% of Italy’s population. Including figures from a 2021 paper White Papers has previously cited in our work on Italy, we believe the total non-Italian population of the country to sit around 15.1%, now more like 15.5% as a year has passed since our original piece.

    In the Netherlands, a country where we have team members and which White Papers has covered extensively both demographically and politically, net migration eased to roughly +95,000 in 2025 and down from 108,000 in 2024. Among Dutch citizens, 3,000 more departed the country than moved to the country in 2025. When properly classified by origin as Western or non-Western White Papers has previously revealed that about 16.25% of the Netherland’s population are of non-European origin and in total some 32% of the population has no (Dutch or Frisian) origin in the country

    France continues to report provisional net migration of about +176,000, a figure it has roughly averaged for the past decade with some exceptions (such as 228,000 net migrants in 2020). Natural change turned negative in 2025 for the first time since the Second World War, leaving migration as the sole source of population growth and accelerating the replacement of the French people. First residence permits to non-EU nationals reached approximately 384,000 in 2025 and the foreign-born population is now at 8 million, or roughly 11–12 percent of the total. Yet the deeper picture emerges when one looks beyond the first generation. At this point in the article, it should come as no surprise that 12% of the French population are second-generation immigrants and a further 10% are third-generation immigrants. The second generation of immigrants represents roughly 8 million individuals, while the third generation is composed of roughly 4.8 million people, according to INSEE. Of these 12.8 million second-generation immigrants and beyond roughly 4.78 million are known to be non-non-European, according to the Institut national d’études démographiques (INED) in Paris. (11)(12)

    Spain has the unfortunate distinction of produced the highest absolute immigration in 2024 with 1.29 million people coming to the country and a net migration of +626,000, almost entirely among foreign nationals. Growth remained strong into 2025 and early 2026 with more than coming to the country. As a result, the foreign-born population has now surpassed 10 million—roughly 19–20 percent of the total. All of this data suggests that the native Spanish is about 75% or 36.86 million people, and roughly 21-points lower than in 2002 when native Spaniards were 95.76% of the country’s population and numbered 39.3 million individuals. Spain’s demographic future went from secure to perilous in the space of a single generation.

     

    In much better news, the Nordic elder brother Sweden saw net migration fall to roughly +12,000 in 2025 after a sharp drop in immigration to 89,400 in 2024. Still, the foreign-born population stands at about 2.2 million (around 21 percent) and the non-Swedish population remains extremely large for a country that was once the most homogeneous in the world. Official Swedish statistics, however, also track the wider “foreign background” population, those born abroad or born in Sweden to two foreign-born parents. By recent counts this group of immigrants and their descendants has reached roughly 28% percent of the total population. The composition has shifted markedly toward non-Western origins over the past three decades; what began as labor and refugee migration from Europe and the Middle East has produced a second generation whose presence is now visible across cities, schools and welfare statistics.

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  • In Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Malta, Luxembourg and Portugal the detailed 2025 nationality breakdowns are less complete, yet the pattern is consistent: positive net migration driven chiefly by non-nationals, with particularly high foreign-born shares in Luxembourg and Ireland while in countries like Denmark years of ever-decreasing non-Western immigration have been replaced by immigration trends that, while still unacceptably high, at least favor other Western peoples who will be far more easily integrated into the Danish model of life and community.

    The common thread is unmistakable and similar to the United States. When national statistics separate citizens from non-citizens, the net balance for foreigners is almost always substantially larger than the headline total. Native populations are shrinking, non-European populations are growing, and as a result, the ancient nations of Europe are being demographically replaced by peoples who have no connection to Europe let alone to Western Civilization.

    Only remigration can reverse these trends.

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19 August 2026

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